The short answer is, not much. Petraeus says troop withdrawals beyond those promised through July would threaten the fragile gains made since the troop surge. He says security in Iraq is getting better, and the Iraqi military is holding its own, sort of. As for the political reconciliation the surge was supposed to buy, even Petraeus couldn't say that's happening.
So here's the Petraeus plan, in a nutshell. The 20,000 extra troops used for the surge are pulled out by July. After that, a 45 day period of "evaluation". Then, a period of assessment whose length is still to be determined. In plain English, no substantial troop withdrawals while George W. Bush is still president. Not even a timetable for troop withdrawal this year.
This is the endless war that so many Americans fear. It is unacceptable, yet Petraeus and his sponsor, Bush, seem bent on ramming it down our throats. Democrats in Congress have yet to figure out how to stop the war machine without looking like spineless capitulators. So, our emboldened president will go before the American people tomorrow, and most likely parrot the same tired lines Petraeus is using.
And what constitutes success in Iraq will remain a mystery.
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